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2024-12-14 11:19:40

In the evening, the CPI data released by Laomei was in line with expectations, and the market's expectation that Laomei would continue to cut interest rates next week rose to 97%. Then the US dollar index rose ahead of schedule, and non-US currencies fell again. In the evening, large US technology stocks took the Nasdaq to the 20,000 mark for the first time!There are great internal differences among consumption, AI and robots in the short term, and the funds are switched internally, which can only remind everyone not to chase after the rise. Follow the funds to make a low board and lower expectations, fast-forward and fast-out. After all, when the tide really ebbs, the comparison is who runs fast.Yesterday, the shrinkage of A shares was weak, and the differences between large and small-cap stocks continued to expand. Even in the end, the CSI 1000ETF was still heavy. Recently, hot money and quantification have obviously controlled the market initiative, while machine ticket purchase has been obviously marginalized. So how will A shares go today?


When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.Today, there is a high probability of watching black Thursday, holding positions for a day and not operating!Recently, two big coupons have been excavated in the direction of new quality productivity. One is July 1 E, which is stable at ten points in three days; There is also the fact that Guanghatong X rose by 15 points in intraday trading yesterday, all of which are the concept of communication+state-owned enterprise reform. What Lao Liu wants to say is that you can eat meat even if you are familiar with the transaction.


Technically, as I have repeatedly suggested in the article, Tuesday's false negative line is a small high point. Before there is no counter-package to recover lost ground, the market estimates that Xiaoyang Xiaoyin has a high probability of continuing to shake and consolidate, so don't expect a big rise or a big fall, lower expectations, and try the market.

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